Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.011428 11.551265 13.204686 15.106910 17.229556 19.519881 22.172479
2025-08-31 7.534204 9.522161 11.814001 14.631782 17.981858 21.815774 26.512197
2025-09-07 6.278604 8.506497 11.215929 14.713399 19.064631 24.253825 30.859706
2025-09-14 5.354291 7.705929 10.700106 14.726912 19.928171 26.342368 34.763056
2025-09-21 4.702652 7.143729 10.380493 14.891597 20.908573 28.541543 38.822975
2025-09-28 4.120666 6.588628 9.988098 14.884800 21.610190 30.361944 42.423311
2025-10-05 3.763315 6.298904 9.911242 15.266474 22.809653 32.841115 46.936087
2025-10-12 3.423898 5.990189 9.766399 15.519280 23.816468 35.075266 51.178788
2025-10-19 3.086967 5.642932 9.525338 15.598614 24.559112 36.953425 54.981589
2025-10-26 2.678918 5.133274 8.989540 15.192127 24.562183 37.781799 57.343967
2025-11-02 2.351890 4.717411 8.556883 14.897789 24.691795 38.766284 59.927234
2025-11-09 2.061521 4.328962 8.130048 14.572559 24.740536 39.614052 62.319248
2025-11-16 1.809380 3.981611 7.744061 14.288682 24.840808 40.547535 64.883176
2025-11-23 1.559878 3.607242 7.277190 13.835009 24.642847 41.018157 66.773440
2025-11-30 1.423449 3.432844 7.139766 13.912947 25.278421 42.749239 70.563499
2025-12-07 1.292398 3.252243 6.973698 13.925851 25.800533 44.314286 74.139987
2025-12-14 1.194116 3.126837 6.896376 14.083121 26.558503 46.259501 78.337963
2025-12-21 1.085352 2.964620 6.734702 14.076630 27.036302 47.773390 81.909192
2025-12-28 1.029427 2.912488 6.779175 14.441174 28.150882 50.322837 87.142312
2026-01-04 0.964519 2.831421 6.759033 14.682674 29.059673 52.564839 91.948198
2026-01-11 0.888492 2.713924 6.655055 14.758467 29.678881 54.351322 96.076568
2026-01-18 0.777123 2.493667 6.319592 14.370158 29.458181 54.750572 98.002103
2026-01-25 0.687164 2.313248 6.050327 14.089035 29.409016 55.421261 100.367733